MSC Industrial Valuation
| MSM Stock | USD 93.21 1.67 1.82% |
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. MSC Industrial Direct owns a latest Real Value of $87.78 per share. The recent price of the firm is $93.21. Our model forecasts the value of MSC Industrial Direct from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.05 %, return on asset of 0.0807, and Operating Margin of 0.08 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting MSC Industrial's valuation include:
Price Book 3.7534 | Enterprise Value | Enterprise Value Ebitda 14.6959 | Price Sales 1.3419 | Forward PE 21.5983 |
Overvalued
Today
Please note that MSC Industrial's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of MSC Industrial Direct is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing MSC Industrial's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the MSC stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of MSC Industrial Direct. Since MSC Industrial is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of MSC Stock. However, MSC Industrial's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 93.21 | Real 87.78 | Target 85.83 | Hype 91.53 | Naive 89.85 |
The intrinsic value of MSC Industrial's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence MSC Industrial's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of MSC Industrial Direct helps investors to forecast how MSC stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of MSC Industrial more accurately as focusing exclusively on MSC Industrial's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use MSC Industrial's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of MSC Industrial's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against MSC Industrial's closest peers.
MSC Industrial Cash |
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MSC Industrial Total Value Analysis
MSC Industrial Direct is now projected to have company total value of 5.72 B with market capitalization of 5.11 B, debt of 538.81 M, and cash on hands of 56.23 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the MSC Industrial fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company| Takeover Price | Market Cap | Debt Obligations | Cash |
5.72 B | 5.11 B | 538.81 M | 56.23 M |
MSC Industrial Investor Information
About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of MSC Industrial was now reported as 24.76. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.3. MSC Industrial Direct last dividend was issued on the 14th of January 2026. The entity had 2:1 split on the 26th of May 1998. MSC Industrial Direct is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in April.| Current Value | Last Year | Change From Last Year | 10 Year Trend | ||||||
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| Operating Profit Margin | 0.14 | 0.1063 |
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| Operating Income | 297.6 M | 360.8 M |
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MSC Industrial Asset Utilization
The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. MSC Industrial has an asset utilization ratio of 153.1 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $1.53 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that MSC Industrial Direct is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.MSC Industrial Profitability Analysis
Taking into consideration MSC Industrial's profitability measurements, MSC Industrial's profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average probability of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess MSC Industrial's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.Net Income | First Reported 1995-11-30 | Previous Quarter 56.5 M | Current Value 51.8 M | Quarterly Volatility 26.2 M |
| Current Value | Last Year | Change From Last Year | 10 Year Trend | ||||||
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| Gross Profit Margin | 0.48 | 0.4111 |
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| Net Profit Margin | 0.066 | 0.0677 |
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| Operating Profit Margin | 0.14 | 0.1063 |
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| Pretax Profit Margin | 0.14 | 0.0897 |
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| Return On Assets | 0.096 | 0.105 |
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| Return On Equity | 0.14 | 0.1858 |
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For MSC Industrial profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of MSC Industrial Direct to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well MSC Industrial utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between MSC Industrial's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of MSC Industrial over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.
MSC Industrial Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual
The next projected EPS of MSC Industrial is estimated to be 0.84 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.8242 to a high of 0.85. MSC Industrial's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 3.67. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for MSC Industrial Direct is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.MSC Industrial Earnings Estimation Breakdown
The calculation of MSC Industrial's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of MSC Industrial is estimated to be 0.84 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.8242 to a high of 0.85. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for MSC Industrial Direct is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.Last Reported EPS
0.82 Lowest | Expected EPS | 0.85 Highest |
MSC Industrial Earnings Projection Consensus
Suppose the current estimates of MSC Industrial's value are higher than the current market price of the MSC Industrial stock. In this case, investors may conclude that MSC Industrial is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and MSC Industrial's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
| Number of Analysts | Historical Accuracy | Last Reported EPS | Estimated EPS for 28th of February 2026 | Current EPS (TTM) | |
| 11 | 96.24% | 0.99 | 0.84 | 3.67 |
MSC Industrial Ownership Allocation
MSC Industrial Direct secures a total of 55.8 Million outstanding shares. The majority of MSC Industrial Direct outstanding shares are owned by institutions. These other corporate entities are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to shop for positions in MSC Industrial Direct to benefit from reduced commissions. Therefore, outside corporations are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in MSC Industrial Direct. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of MSC Industrial as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that almost four million one hundred sixty-two thousand nine hundred twenty-seven invesors are currently shorting MSC Industrial expressing very little confidence in its future performance.MSC Industrial Profitability Analysis
The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.77 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 199.33 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.55 B.MSC Industrial Past Distributions to stockholders
About MSC Industrial Valuation
We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of MSC Industrial Direct. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of MSC Industrial Direct based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing MSC Industrial's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of MSC Industrial's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of MSC Industrial. We calculate exposure to MSC Industrial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of MSC Industrial's related companies.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Gross Profit | 1.8 B | 987 M | |
| Pretax Profit Margin | 0.09 | 0.14 | |
| Operating Profit Margin | 0.11 | 0.14 | |
| Net Profit Margin | 0.07 | 0.07 | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.41 | 0.48 |
MSC Industrial Quarterly Retained Earnings |
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A single share of MSC Industrial represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of MSC, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.
MSC Industrial Dividends Analysis For Valuation
As of the 5th of March 2026, Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio is likely to grow to 2.45, though Dividends Paid is likely to grow to (207.2 M). . At this time, MSC Industrial's Retained Earnings are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 5th of March 2026, Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to grow to about 789.5 M, while Earnings Yield is likely to drop 0.04.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Dividends Paid | -218.1 M | -207.2 M | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.04 | 0.03 | |
| Dividend Payout Ratio | 0.72 | 0.55 | |
| Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio | 1.43 | 2.45 |
There are various types of dividends MSC Industrial can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of MSC shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from MSC Industrial Direct directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When MSC pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of MSC Industrial by the value of the dividends paid out.
MSC Industrial Growth Indicators
Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as MSC Industrial does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 55.9 M | |
| Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | 0.118 | |
| Forward Price Earnings | 21.5983 |
MSC Industrial Current Valuation Indicators
MSC Industrial's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final MSC Industrial's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as MSC Industrial, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use MSC Industrial's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes MSC Industrial's worth.When determining whether MSC Industrial Direct is a strong investment it is important to analyze MSC Industrial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact MSC Industrial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding MSC Stock, refer to the following important reports: Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in MSC Industrial Direct. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Will Trading Companies & Distributors sector continue expanding? Could MSC diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MSC Industrial. Expected growth trajectory for MSC significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every MSC Industrial data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.118 | Dividend Share 3.44 | Earnings Share 3.67 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.04 |
Investors evaluate MSC Industrial Direct using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating MSC Industrial's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause MSC Industrial's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that MSC Industrial's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether MSC Industrial represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, MSC Industrial's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.